It’s how a musician knows what note to play next, how a comedian can time a laugh line, and how you can apply the right pressure to pick up a bottle of water without first testing the weight. As things happen in front of us, we use those models to predict what will happen in the next second or two. We constantly use memories to build efficient little models of the world-in other words, to gain experience. We don’t search our database of memories to try to understand what to do next. This idea also happens to reflect the way human intelligence works. Ranadivé-along with a lot of other computer people-believes technology has to evolve to comprehend events as they happen, and use something akin to experience to anticipate what’s about to happen next. Those words are a shot at databases, which store mountains of past information, and the analytics that piece together stored data looking for trends. The book grew, in part, out of one of Ranadivé’s oft-repeated aphorisms: “A little bit of the right information just a little bit beforehand is more valuable than all the information in the world six months afterward.” Two years ago, Vivek and I were finishing up a book we co-wrote, The Two-Second Advantage: How We Succeed by Anticipating the Future…Just Enough. Well, I can provide some clues to the way Ranadivé will likely think about this, and it goes well beyond using Moneyball-style data analysis to find players who are overlooked gems.
Image via Wikimedia CommonsĪs Vivek Ranadivé, CEO of TIBCO Software, and his tech industry partners take over the NBA’s Sacramento Kings, they’ve made some comments about applying advanced technology to basketball. DeMarcus Cousins, star center for the Sacramento Kings, warming up before a 2012 game.
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